As luck would have it, the glass I'm trying to bend is FMS BL55 Blue.
I have installed the tank warmer, and while it seems to keep the fires more consistent, and I've been able to turn down the flow quite a bit, the glass still cracks.
Ignoring the fact that it's likely made worse or entirely due to the bad batch of blue phosphor, I'm thinking it's as you suggest, the glass and bending table both being colder than usual. Normal for my shop most of the year would be 89-95, so a cool pleasant day would be 85. We've been having night temps around 38-45, then up to 65-75 daytime, so the box of glass remains very noticeably cold.
I switched from using the screen on a paper pattern to using a cloth pattern, and it seemed to help a little, but warming up the table with a space heater is a simple trick I hadn't considered. I'll do that right now.
Maybe I'll just stop with this glass and come back to it when the hot weather returns.